IR Tanger vs Maghreb Fez

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. The line landed in 3/5 IR Tanger and 4/5 Maghreb Fez completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/3 and 2/2. Maghreb Fez drew 0-0 with Raja Casablanca and at Rahimo; three of IR Tanger latest five games had at most three goals. The latest four H2Hs finished 0-1, 1-1, 1-1 and 1-1. Model total expected goals 1.98 is secondary support. Main risk: IR Tanger and Maghreb Fez have recent 3-1 and 4-1 wins; the sample mixes cup and continental opponents, standings cover only three league games, and there are only two recent away matches. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.