Queen's Park vs Inverness

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. The line landed in 5/6 Queen's Park and 6/6 Inverness completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/2 and 3/3. Queen's Park conceded at least twice in its four latest games; Inverness scored twice against Stenhousemuir and Morton and its recent away results were 2-2, 3-1 and 1-3. Model total expected goals 2.89 is secondary support. Main risk: Queen's Park scored only three goals in six recent games; the two most recent H2Hs from 2024 were 1-0, and there are only five combined recent venue observations. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.