Sun F. vs Cui J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Cui took a set in 7/10 recent completed hard matches, including a 1-2 loss to Vukic and 2-0 win over Altmaier. He swept Sun on September 8 and won their other two supplied hard H2Hs. Sun has sets in 6/9 and was swept by Kachmazov most recently. Main risk: Cui was swept by Van De Zandschulp, Zhou and Trotter; Sun ranks 303 versus 420 and recently beat Tomic. The medium-quality model gives Cui just 53% to win; the set market is broader.