Forge vs Inter Toronto

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. The line landed in 7/9 Forge and 9/9 Inter Toronto completed matches in the last 45 days; supplied home/away samples were 5/6 and 4/4. Forge latest home matches included 3-0 over Pacific FC and 3-3 with HFX Wanderers. Inter Toronto latest four away games finished 3-3, 1-4, 1-1 and 1-2; every supplied Inter Toronto match produced at least two goals. The three 2026 H2Hs were 1-1, 1-3 and 1-4. Model total expected goals 3.41 is secondary support. Main risk: Forge won 1-0 against Supra du Quebec and also lost 0-1 to that opponent in the recent sample; a controlled low-tempo game remains possible. Several form observations and H2Hs overlap, so they are not independent trials. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.