Seyboth Wild T. vs Reis Da Silva J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Seyboth Wild won all nine recent completed clay matches, eight in straight sets, including Midon, Martinez, Varillas and Dodig; he has four current straight-set wins. Reis Da Silva has sets in 8/9 but was swept by Brunold. Main risk: Reis Da Silva just swept Prado Angelo and Pucinelli de Almeida and also beat Neumayer and Monteiro, so he is a stronger opponent than some in the streak. Rankings 136 versus 230 and model 63% favor Seyboth Wild; the three old clay H2H wins are only secondary.