Aksu A. vs Stefanini L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Stefanini took a set in 8/10 recent completed hard matches and won her four matches this week 2-0, including Blinkova and Iatcenko. She swept Aksu in their August hard H2H. Aksu has sets in 7/10 and was swept by Pridankina and Smith. Main risk: Aksu has four current wins too, most recently 2-0 over Sakatsume, and plays in her home country; Stefanini lost 0-2 to Podoroska and Paolini in September. Rankings 125 versus 210 and model 62% support a set selection.