Forejtek J. vs Passaro F.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Forejtek took a set in 9/10 recent completed clay matches, winning eight; his four current wins include 2-1 over Moro Canas and Ribecai and 2-0 over Krumich and Kopp. Passaro has sets in 8/10, but lost 0-2 to Varillas and Kicker and 1-2 to Juan Mano. Main risk: Passaro ranks 229 versus 343 and also has four straight wins, three in straight sets. The model slightly favors Passaro 52%, no H2H is available, and Forejtek's two latest deciding-set matches add workload.