CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moscow

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 81%. The line landed in 7/7 CSKA Moscow and 7/7 Rodina Moscow completed matches in the last 45 days; supplied home/away samples were 4/6 and 6/6. CSKA drew Rubin 1-1 and won 3-1 at Makhachkala; Rodina lost 3-2 at Dynamo and 2-1 at Krylya. Model total expected goals 3.40 is secondary support. Main risk: CSKA have older 1-0 results at home, Rodina failed to score at Makhachkala, and only one old H2H is supplied. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.