Hertha Berlin vs Greuther Furth

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 81%. The line landed in 6/6 Hertha Berlin and 4/5 Greuther Furth completed matches in the last 45 days; supplied home/away samples were 2/2 and 6/6. Hertha beat Dresden 2-1 and Osnabruck 3-1; Furth drew Bochum and Magdeburg 1-1. The latest two H2Hs had three and six goals. Model total expected goals 3.66 is secondary support. Main risk: Furth have a recent 0-1 and Hertha only two supplied home results; the Stuttgart 5-0 loss and Hertha match against Hertha Zehlendorf overstate totals. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.