Legia vs Wisla

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. The line landed in 7/7 Legia and 7/7 Wisla completed matches in the last 45 days; supplied home/away samples were 4/4 and 6/6. Legia beat Korona 5-1 and Jagiellonia 3-1; Wisla won 4-3 at Piast and beat Slask 2-1. Model total expected goals 3.69 is secondary support. Main risk: Legia have recent 1-1s; the H2H sample is old and includes 0-0 and 1-0. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.