Andreeva M. vs Bartunkova N.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Andreeva took a set in nine of ten supplied current hard matches and won eight, including 2-0 against Alexandrova (28) and Snigur (46) in her latest two. She beat Bartunkova 2-0 on hard in September, with rank 5 versus 34 and a high-quality model providing secondary support. Counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results within 75 days, not an exhaustive record; model output is secondary and no exact-market price is verified. Main risk: Bartunkova also took sets in nine of ten and just beat Muchova (8) and Sabalenka (2) in straight sets. Andreeva lost 0-2 to Fernandez and needed three sets against Yuan; a single H2H does not establish a reliable matchup advantage.