Celta Vigo B vs Real Sociedad B

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. The line landed in 6/6 Celta Vigo B and 7/8 Real Sociedad B completed matches in the last 45 days; supplied home/away samples were 6/6 and 6/6. Celta B drew Sabadell 1-1 and lost 0-4 to Eibar; Sociedad B lost 3-1 at Ceuta and won 3-1 at Andorra. Model total expected goals 3.49 is secondary support. Main risk: Sociedad B recently lost 0-1 to Mallorca; U21 cross-competition matches inflate totals and reserve squads can change significantly. No verified current price for this exact total; odds omitted.