Toronto FC vs CF Montreal

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. The line landed in 6/6 Toronto FC and 7/8 CF Montreal completed matches in the last 45 days; supplied home/away samples were 5/5 and 4/5. Toronto beat Nashville 2-1 and drew New York City 1-1 at home; Montreal lost 2-0 at Philadelphia and drew Vancouver 1-1. Model total expected goals 3.55 is secondary support. Main risk: Both latest completed results are 13 days old, Toronto have three successive defeats with only one goal scored, and the latest derby was 0-0. No verified current price for this exact total; odds omitted.