Tokyo Sunrockers vs Toyama

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Tokyo won four of five supplied September/October games and three of four at home: 95-79 Chiba, 90-63 and 86-76 Akita, then 92-85 away at Shiga. Toyama is 2/5, losing its latest two 77-99 to Utsunomiya Brex and 77-81 to Kyoto. Tokyo won the latest five H2Hs, including both January visits to Toyama; the 74% model is secondary. Main risk: Toyama has beaten Utsunomiya Brex 77-67 and Shinshu 99-85 this season, while Tokyo lost one Chiba home game. Both current samples contain only five games and repeated opponents.