Davidovich Fokina A. vs Brooksby J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Davidovich Fokina took a set in all five supplied comparable hard matches since September 26, winning four. The sequence includes wins over Hurkacz (34) and Cerundolo (55) and a set from Berrettini (46). Brooksby lost four of nine without a set. Counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results within 75 days, not an exhaustive record; model output is secondary and no exact-market price is verified. Main risk: Brooksby just beat Munar 2-0 and also beat Sonego and Baez. Davidovich Fokina’s comparable sample contains only five matches and ends October 1; the two supplied hard H2Hs split, most recently a three-set win for Davidovich Fokina in 2025.