Halys Q. vs Blockx A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Halys took a set in all eight supplied comparable hard matches, including wins over Buse and Wong and sets from De Minaur and Safiullin since September 26. Blockx lost his latest comparable match 0-2 to Vacherot. Counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results within 75 days, not an exhaustive record; model output is secondary and no exact-market price is verified. Main risk: Blockx ranks 28 versus 48 and recently beat Cerundolo and Cobolli at the US Open in a different format. Only four comparable best-of-three results are supplied for him, three from August. Halys won only four of eight; no H2H is supplied and the model is low quality.