Sochaux vs Boulogne

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Sochaux stayed below four goals in all ten supplied completed games, Boulogne in nine of ten. Since Aug 25 the records are 5/5 and 4/5: Sochaux beat Nantes 1-0 and drew Laval and Pau 1-1; Boulogne drew Clermont and Montpellier 0-0. League goals are 4:5 for Sochaux and 3:5 for Boulogne after seven games. Model total expected goals is 1.91. Main risk: Boulogne latest result was a 6-1 loss at Le Havre, and the latest H2H finished 3-2; the total allows three goals but remains exposed to another defensive collapse. No verified current price; odds omitted.