Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dynamo Brest

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. Dynamo Brest won their last four completed games, including 2-1 at Neman and 1-0 at Din. Minsk, and sit fourth with 40 points against Arsenal twelfth with 23. Arsenal are winless in the supplied ten and lost four of five supplied home games, with one 0-0 draw against Baranovici. Brest won the May H2H 3-0. The model 76% away estimate is reduced for draw risk. Main risk: Arsenal latest two relevant clean-sheet draws include FC Minsk and Baranovici; Brest have only three wins in five supplied away games and recent H2Hs include draws. No verified current price; odds omitted.