Munar J. vs Brooksby J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 83%. Munar took sets in all seven comparable hard best-of-three matches and won six, including wins over Fritz, Faria and Kovacevic and a set from Alcaraz. Brooksby lost five of nine comparable matches without a set. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard results from 25 July through 8 October, not an exhaustive period record; model output is secondary. Main risk: Munar played six supplied matches from September 28 to October 5, creating fatigue risk. Brooksby has wins over Baez and Sonego and has rested since September 27. The samples are limited and no H 2 H is supplied; best-of-five results are excluded.