Zavatska K. vs Khomutsianskaya D.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Khomutsianskaya has taken a set in 8/10 recent completed hard-court matches, winning 7, including 2-0 against Zavatska on October 5 and 2-1 over Grant (156) on October 6. Zavatska is 2/5 for a set and has three straight-set losses in that sample. Main risk: Zavatska just beat Shao 2-0 and has the slightly better rank; Khomutsianskaya lost setless to Wang (744) and Huang (437), so the recent H2H is only secondary support. Comparable samples use completed best-of-three results on this surface within 75 days; model is secondary and no exact current price is verified.