Tarvet O. vs Djere L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Tarvet has taken a set in all 10 recent completed hard-court matches and won 9, including recent wins over Maestrelli (171), Dedura (190) and Erhard (373). Djere is 2/4 for a set with setless defeats to Rincon (245) and Muller (133). Main risk: Djere is ranked 179 versus 307 and has recent 2-0 wins over Stricker and Mmoh; his comparable sample is small, part of Tarvet's sample is from August and the model is low quality. No H2H is available. Comparable samples use completed best-of-three results on this surface within 75 days; model is secondary and no exact current price is verified.