Dzumhur D. vs Shelbayh A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Shelbayh has taken a set in 8/10 recent completed hard-court matches and won 7, including 2-0 over Jorda Sanchis (193) yesterday and Boyer (209). Dzumhur is 2/4 for a set, losing 0-2 to Echargui (356) and Erhard (373). Main risk: Dzumhur has the better rank, just beat Kravchenko 2-0 and won their 2024 hard-court H2H 2-0; his current comparable sample is small and the model is low quality. Shelbayh recently lost setless to Dietrich. Comparable samples use completed best-of-three results on this surface within 75 days; model is secondary and no exact current price is verified.