Marozsan F. vs Svajda Z.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Marozsan has taken a set in 7/8 recent comparable hard-court matches, including wins over Kecmanovic (61), Damm (104) and Daniel (177). Svajda is 3/5 for a set with just one win, against Kozlov (290), and lost setless to Bellucci (86) and Vukic (115). Main risk: Marozsan's latest result was 0-2 to Jacquet and much of the sample is from August; Svajda took sets from Fils and Kovacevic. There is no H2H. Comparable samples use completed best-of-three results on this surface within 75 days; model is secondary and no exact current price is verified.