Henning P. vs Gojo B.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Gojo has taken a set in 9/10 recent completed hard-court matches, twice taking Droguet (72) to a deciding set and beating Kolar (196) and Martineau (272). Henning is 7/9 for a set, but his wins mostly came against ranks 238-1324; he lost setless to Schoolkate (155) and Deckers (552). Main risk: Henning has three straight wins including 2-0 over Kasnikowski; Gojo's latest win was over rank 1566, and the low-quality model is even. No H2H is available. Comparable samples use completed best-of-three results on this surface within 75 days; model is secondary and no exact current price is verified.