Krutykh O. vs Mikrut L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Mikrut has won 8/9 recent completed clay matches, beating Nagal (253), Caniato (318), Neumayer (180) and Coppejans (232) 2-0. Krutykh has taken a set in 7/9 but needed deciding sets in his last three wins against ranks 577, 905 and 901. Main risk: Mikrut lost 0-2 to Sanchez Izquierdo and lost their 2024 hard-court H2H 0-2, though that is a different surface; Krutykh arrives on three wins. An older partial result is excluded. Comparable samples use completed best-of-three results on this surface within 75 days; model is secondary and no exact current price is verified.