Mertens E. / Shnaider D. vs Perez E. / Schuurs D.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Mertens/Shnaider have taken a set in 8/10 recent completed hard-court matches together and won 7, including 2-0 wins over Mihalikova/Nicholls yesterday and Perez/Schuurs on September 7. Perez/Schuurs are 7/10 for a set with three straight-set losses. Main risk: Perez/Schuurs just beat Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 2-1 and won 6/10; Mertens/Shnaider lost setless to Siniakova/Townsend and to Mihalikova/Nicholls in August. One older missing-score entry is excluded. Comparable samples use completed best-of-three results on this surface within 75 days; model is secondary and no exact current price is verified.