Mobis Phoebus vs KCC Egis

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 71%. Mobis won three of four supplied August-October games, versus KCC Egis' one win in five. The current shared-opponent results are the clearest support: Mobis beat LG Sakers 85-84 and KoGas 87-82, while KCC lost twice to LG by 6 and 35 and to KoGas by 13. Mobis won the two latest listed home H2Hs, 85-74 in March and 81-66 in January. Main risk: Mobis lost 85-88 to Anyang on 3 October, and their three current wins were by only 1, 5 and 2 points. KCC beat Seoul Knights by 11 in September. The samples are small and the model gives Mobis only 64%; its mixed-season form includes older losses, so the 71% judgement depends on the current shared-opponent evidence rather than the model.