Ilagan A. vs Basilashvili N.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Basilashvili took sets in six of eight comparable hard-court best-of-three matches, with five consecutive wins before a three-set loss to Davidovich Fokina. Those wins included Brooksby, Van De Zandschulp and Kecmanovic. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 22 July to 5 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Ilagan just beat Sharipov and Dellavedova and won five of ten comparable matches. Basilashvili lost 0-2 to Hong and Faria, while Ilagan's latest defeat was 0-2 to Harris. No H2H is supplied and best-of-five results are excluded from comparable counts.