Aguilar Cardozo J. vs Rodriguez L. J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 83%. Aguilar Cardozo won nine of ten comparable clay matches, including wins over Varillas, Comesana and Zarate. He beat Rodriguez 2-0 in both supplied 2026 clay H2Hs, in February and July. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 22 July to 5 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Rodriguez just beat Ribero 2-0 and won both supplied 2025 H2Hs in three sets. Aguilar Cardozo lost 0-2 to Barrena and needed three sets against De La Fuente on 4 October. Rodriguez's recent wins and the older contrary H2Hs limit a stronger claim.