Sweeny D. vs Schoolkate T.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Schoolkate took sets in seven of eight comparable hard-court matches, including 2-0 over Henning and wins over Draxl and Matusevich. Sweeny lost three of seven comparable matches without a set. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 22 July to 5 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Sweeny is higher ranked and won their February 2026 hard-court H2H 2-1. Schoolkate lost twice to Mayot in September-October, once without a set, and won only five of eight comparable matches. Older H2Hs favour Schoolkate but do not outweigh the recent contrary result.