Campana Lee G. vs Vives Marcos P.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Campana Lee won nine of ten comparable clay matches, including 2-0 over Marino on 4 October and September wins over Giustino, Gakhov and Martin Manzano. His latest six comparable matches were wins. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 22 July to 5 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Vives Marcos won both supplied August 2025 clay H2Hs, one without conceding a set, and just beat Cocola 2-0. Campana Lee lost 0-2 to Gill; some recent winning opponents were lower ranked. The adverse H2H limits the selection to one set.