Slovan Bratislava (Svk) vs Mjallby (Swe)

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 71%. Slovan won the away leg 2-1 in Sweden last week, have won five of their last ten, and now defend the aggregate lead at home where a draw advances them and settles this pick; the model rates the double chance at 78%. Main risk: Mjallby's league form is solid (only three losses in ten) and they must attack, which can catch Slovan on the counter.