SG Basketball vs Tagawa

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. SG are 5-1 in September, compared with Tagawa's 3-2, and beat IMG K-Star 78-63 while Tagawa lost 58-69 to that opponent. SG also beat Xin Hua 74-71, who beat Tagawa 73-55. SG won both 2025 H2Hs, but the current opponent comparisons carry more weight than those older games or the model's 77%. Main risk: SG lost 61-69 to Eng Tat Hornets on September 28, and Tagawa beat Siglap 72-61, showing upset potential.