VEF Riga vs BK Liepaja

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 85%. VEF are 5-1 in September and won their latest three games by 38 against Latvijas Universitate, 19 at BK Ogre and 30 against Keila KK. Liepaja lost their three September games. VEF also won 9 of 10 listed H2Hs; recent form and the home venue lead the assessment, with the model's 91% discounted. Main risk: VEF's recent opposition is uneven, Liepaja's latest two losses were only three and four points, and Liepaja won one of the older H2Hs.