Fuenlabrada vs Gran Canaria

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Gran Canaria won all four September games, including 87-80 at Fuenlabrada on September 9, 105-91 at Gipuzkoa and 108-69 over Oviedo. Fuenlabrada lost all five September games. The direct current meeting and repeated away wins support the estimate more than the model's 83% or much older H2Hs. Main risk: the current samples are small, the direct win was only seven points, and Fuenlabrada's losses to Besiktas and Partizan came against different-strength opposition.