Astakhova D. vs Wei S.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Astakhova took sets in six of eight comparable completed hard-court matches, including September wins over Linette and Shubladze. Against their recent common opponent Shubladze, Astakhova won 2-0 whereas Wei lost 1-2 on 2 October. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 20 July to 3 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Wei won six of nine comparable completed matches, including wins over Bai and Garland. Astakhova's latest result was a 0-2 loss to Inglis and she also lost 0-2 to Garland. Older incomplete entries on both sides are excluded; one common opponent is only supporting evidence and no H2H is supplied.