Martin Manzano J. C. vs Donald M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Martin Manzano took sets in eight of ten comparable clay matches and won seven, including straight-set wins over Dalla Valle, Clarke and Pieri. His latest three matches all ended 2-0. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 20 July to 3 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Donald just beat Krumich 2-1 and won six of nine comparable completed matches, including a September win over Cadenasso. Martin Manzano lost 0-2 to Barrena and Campana Lee. Donald's incomplete Giustino entry is excluded; rankings are close and no H2H is available.