Dietrich D. vs Andrade A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Dietrich won all six comparable current hard-court matches in straight sets, including wins over Blanch, Wolf, Searle and Smith. The latest three completed wins follow his incomplete Basavareddy entry, which is excluded. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 20 July to 3 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Andrade won eight of ten comparable matches, including his latest three in straight sets, and is ranked 206 versus 363. Dietrich's six-match sample is modest and several opponents were lower ranked; no H2H is available and model quality is low.