Jones E. vs Shubladze A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Shubladze won eight of ten comparable hard-court matches and took sets in nine, including three current wins over Saigo, Lu and Wei. Jones lost three of ten comparable matches without a set. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 20 July to 3 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Jones just beat Kaji, Zhu and Okamura 2-0 and is ranked 134 versus 163. Most Shubladze wins came against lower-ranked opponents; she lost 0-2 to Astakhova and 1-2 to Sidorova. No H2H is available.