Shelbayh A. vs Mayo A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Mayo took sets in nine of ten comparable hard-court matches and won eight, including 2-0 over Smith on 1 October and an August win over Andrade. Shelbayh lost three of ten comparable matches without a set. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 19 July to 2 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Shelbayh just beat Ostapenkov 2-0 and Tu 2-1 and previously beat Boyer. Several Mayo wins came against much lower-ranked opponents, and he lost 0-2 to Gorzny. Their rankings are close and there is no H2H.