Cadenasso G. vs Sachko V.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Sachko took sets in eight of ten comparable completed clay matches and won seven, including wins over Jianu, Topo and Soto in September and straight-set wins over Kuzmanov and Petkovic. Cadenasso's two latest wins were against opponents ranked 569 and 901. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 19 July to 2 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Cadenasso took sets in three of four current comparable matches and is ranked 222 versus Sachko's 179. His sample is small, while Sachko lost 0-2 to Brunold and Dietrich. No H2H is supplied.