Blanch Dar. vs Dietrich D.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Blanch took sets in all nine comparable completed hard-court best-of-three matches and won eight, including September wins over Zheng, Mmoh and Wolf. The 2-1 win over Milavsky on 30 September extended that current form. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 19 July to 2 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Dietrich won all five comparable completed hard-court matches in straight sets, including wins over Wolf and Smith. His incomplete Basavareddy result is excluded, as is Blanch's best-of-five loss to Fritz. There is no H2H and Dietrich's recent dominance makes a full-win call less secure.