Chidekh C. vs Mayot H.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Mayot took sets in eight of nine comparable completed hard-court matches, including a 2-0 win over Chidekh on 18 September and wins over De Jong, Schoolkate and Butvilas. All four supplied H2Hs included a Mayot set. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 19 July to 2 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Chidekh won nine of ten comparable matches, including his latest two, and the model favours him. Mayot lost 0-2 to Droguet and several recent wins needed deciding sets. The incomplete Cassone entry is excluded and older H2Hs get less weight.