Jeanjean L. vs Stefanini L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Stefanini won six of nine comparable completed hard-court matches. She beat Jeanjean 2-0 in August and 2-1 in March, alongside recent wins over Yastremska, Bertea and Buyukakcay. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 19 July to 2 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Jeanjean took sets in eight of ten comparable matches and just beat Lamens and Ercan. Stefanini lost 0-2 to Podoroska, Paolini and Bouzkova, while the model slightly favours Jeanjean. The 0-0 Cocciaretto entry is excluded.