Bejlek S. vs Inglis M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Bejlek took sets in seven of ten comparable hard-court matches, including August wins over Sabalenka, Keys and Alexandrova and a September win over Parks. This opposition was substantially stronger than most of Inglis's recent opponents. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 19 July to 2 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Inglis won seven of nine comparable matches and just recorded three 2-0 wins, including over Sonmez. Bejlek lost 0-2 to Bucsa, Gauff and Swiatek. The old grass H2H ended 1-0 and is not treated as completed; model quality is low.