Binan Tatak Gel vs Mindoro Tamaraws

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Model 78% (confidence 76, margin ~9 pts); Binan won 9 of last 10 including 100-75 v Mindoro in May, Mindoro won 6 of 10 mostly by narrow margins. Main risk: Play-in game variance and a small H2H (1-1).