Safiullin R. vs Cobolli F.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Cobolli took sets in five of seven supplied recent completed hard-court best-of-three matches, including August wins over Paul, Jodar, Blockx and Kecmanovic. He is ranked 7 versus Safiullin's 84 and won their only supplied H2H 2-0, although that was in 2022. Main risk: Safiullin won five of eight comparable matches and recently beat Halys and Bu. Cobolli lost 0-2 to Fils and Hanfmann and lost a deciding set to Tien. The old H2H receives little weight; best-of-five results are excluded from the counts.