Shao Y. vs Zakharova A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Zakharova's supplied hard-court wins include 2-0 against Blinkova, Scott, Akli, Crawley and Prozorova in August. She is ranked 110 versus Shao's 752; Shao's seven recent completed hard-court matches were against much lower-ranked or unranked opposition. Main risk: Zakharova lost her latest three matches 0-2, including to 336-ranked Collins, and took sets in only six of ten comparable matches. Shao won four of seven comparable matches, although her latest was a 0-2 loss to Pushkareva. No H2H is supplied.