Bassols M. vs Rakhimova K.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Rakhimova took sets in seven of ten supplied recent completed hard-court matches, including wins over Krejcikova and Birrell. Bassols won three of seven comparable matches, with two wins coming on 28-29 September. Rakhimova won both supplied H2Hs 2-0, one on hard courts and one on clay. Main risk: Bassols is coming off two straight-set wins, while Rakhimova just lost 0-2 to Volynets and also lost 0-2 to Sabalenka and Pegula. The H2Hs are from 2022 and 2025, so they receive little weight.