Montes-De La Torre I. vs Fearnley J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Fearnley took sets in seven of eight supplied recent completed hard-court best-of-three matches, including wins over Pavlovic, Galarneau and McDonald in August and Sanchez Quilez on 30 September. He is ranked 94 versus Montes-De La Torre's 228. Main risk: Montes-De La Torre took sets in eight of nine comparable completed matches and has five wins in his latest six. Fearnley lost 0-2 to Daniel and much of his comparable sample is from August. Best-of-five and incomplete scores are excluded; no H2H is supplied.